TSMC forecasts increase in Q4 revenue after posting sixth straight quarter of record profit - Central Oregon Daily

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TSMC Guides Q4 Revenue Higher After Sixth Straight Record Quarter

TSMC posted its sixth straight quarter of record profit and guided fourth-quarter revenue higher, pointing to sustained demand for advanced chip manufacturing capacity.

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Tom Whitfield
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TSMC has posted its sixth consecutive quarter of record profit and told investors to expect higher revenue in the fourth quarter, the company announced alongside its latest results.

The guidance signals that demand for the foundry's advanced manufacturing capacity remains firm after more than a year of uninterrupted growth. TSMC did not frame the fourth-quarter outlook as a one-off; management presented it as a continuation of the run that produced six record quarters in a row.

What the profit streak tells us

A record quarter at TSMC is not a small event. The company builds the processors that power Apple's iPhones, Nvidia's AI accelerators and a long list of automotive and telecom chips. When its profit sets a new high six times in a row, the whole silicon supply chain feels it.

The mechanism is straightforward. Customers book wafer capacity in advance at TSMC's most advanced nodes. Those wafers carry the highest margins in the industry, because few rivals can match the process technology at scale. Each quarter of record profit therefore reflects both strong orders and the pricing power that comes with a near-monopoly position at the leading edge.

In plain words: the most advanced chip factory on earth is running at full tilt and getting paid more for each wafer it ships.

Why the fourth-quarter forecast matters

A positive outlook for the final three months of the year carries extra weight. It covers the production window for smartphones and AI hardware launched into the year-end shopping season, the strongest demand period in consumer electronics.

It also lands at a moment when the wider industry is divided. Memory makers have swung between gluts and shortages, and smaller foundries have fought for legacy-node orders. TSMC's forecast of higher revenue suggests the top of the market — advanced logic for AI and mobile — is still outgrowing the rest.

The takeaway is that TSMC expects the gap between its own results and the industry average to keep widening through the end of the year.

What to watch next

The next test comes with the fourth-quarter results themselves, due early next year. Investors will look for whether the streak of record quarters extends to seven, and whether management raises its capital spending plans again to add capacity at advanced nodes.

Pricing will be the second signal. If TSMC keeps raising wafer prices while volumes climb, it will confirm that demand for leading-edge capacity still exceeds supply — and that the company intends to keep the commercial advantage that six record quarters have already built.

Source: Google News: TSMC

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Tom Whitfield

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Staff writer covering companies, deals and strategy in Semiconductors, chip manufacturing, hardware, AI compute at Chip Dispatch.

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